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New LCC Asia Pacific briefing note sets out a practical due diligence test for drone detection claims
SYDNEY - AussieJournal -- LCC Asia Pacific has released a briefing note, Drone Detection & Response: Detection Range as a Key Technology Due Diligence Test, warning that the pace of investment in counter-drone technology is outrunning independent verification of what the products either do or have the capacity to deliver.
Investment and vendors are moving into the sector quickly. The Pentagon has requested a US$10 billion counter-drone budget. NATO has tested more than 60 commercial systems in a single exercise. One industry directory now lists over 300 drone detection and counter-drone vendors.
The briefing note argues that many headline claims do not survive a simple practical test. Drones have become much faster, while many fielded detection systems were designed around consumer quadcopters flying at about 70 km/h. A sensor that detects at 3 km gives roughly two and a half minutes of warning against a quadcopter. Against a 300 km/h drone, the same sensor gives about 36 seconds.
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"There is real urgency behind this market, and urgency is when claims get taken at face value," said Nicholas Assef, Founder & Managing Director, LCC Asia Pacific. "A detection range on a pitch deck or brochure is not the same as a system having enough time to respond. Anyone buying, backing or acquiring this technology should verify claims in detail."
The note sets out the questions LCC Asia Pacific believes any diligence exercise should ask:
● What is the range to a confirmed, classified track, as distinct from first detection?
● How long does the system take from detection to a decision, and has that been measured?
● Does it detect drones that emit no radio signal, including autonomous and fibre-optic types?
● Have the results been verified independently, outside the vendor's own test site?
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It also identifies red flags, including a single headline range quoted without target size or test conditions, performance shown only against slow drones, and RF-only detection presented as complete coverage. The note reviews radar, passive RF, optical, acoustic and imaging radar (SAR and ISAR) approaches.
"The sensor is rarely the bottleneck in the response ecosystem. The decision chain usually is," said Nicholas Assef. "Diligence has to test the whole response, from first detection to the moment something is done about it."
The briefing note is available on the research section of LCC Asia Pacific'swebsite (https://www.lccib.com).
Investment and vendors are moving into the sector quickly. The Pentagon has requested a US$10 billion counter-drone budget. NATO has tested more than 60 commercial systems in a single exercise. One industry directory now lists over 300 drone detection and counter-drone vendors.
The briefing note argues that many headline claims do not survive a simple practical test. Drones have become much faster, while many fielded detection systems were designed around consumer quadcopters flying at about 70 km/h. A sensor that detects at 3 km gives roughly two and a half minutes of warning against a quadcopter. Against a 300 km/h drone, the same sensor gives about 36 seconds.
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"There is real urgency behind this market, and urgency is when claims get taken at face value," said Nicholas Assef, Founder & Managing Director, LCC Asia Pacific. "A detection range on a pitch deck or brochure is not the same as a system having enough time to respond. Anyone buying, backing or acquiring this technology should verify claims in detail."
The note sets out the questions LCC Asia Pacific believes any diligence exercise should ask:
● What is the range to a confirmed, classified track, as distinct from first detection?
● How long does the system take from detection to a decision, and has that been measured?
● Does it detect drones that emit no radio signal, including autonomous and fibre-optic types?
● Have the results been verified independently, outside the vendor's own test site?
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It also identifies red flags, including a single headline range quoted without target size or test conditions, performance shown only against slow drones, and RF-only detection presented as complete coverage. The note reviews radar, passive RF, optical, acoustic and imaging radar (SAR and ISAR) approaches.
"The sensor is rarely the bottleneck in the response ecosystem. The decision chain usually is," said Nicholas Assef. "Diligence has to test the whole response, from first detection to the moment something is done about it."
The briefing note is available on the research section of LCC Asia Pacific'swebsite (https://www.lccib.com).
Source: LCC ASIA PACIFIC
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